Sample reports
Three sample reports, one method: pick the reader you are
A sample is one real issue of the monthly watch, built from public sources only and published free, so you can judge the work before any price.
Each one ends in one dated call, with the event that would reverse it, that you can hold Magma to when it comes due.
Which report is for you
You set pricing, treasury or strategy at a Canadian company that ships steel or aluminum to the US
What to do this quarter: plan 2027 prices, surcharges and landed cost at the 50 percent US tariff, and carry a cut as a named upside with its own trigger.
US tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum. The call: REFUSE a US tariff cut before 2027 as the base case.
Issue 0, October 2026. Signed 2026-10-24.
You run corporate strategy at a Canadian company writing the 2027 plan
What to do this quarter: until Budget 2026 lands on 2026-11-05, write the 2027-28 federal deficit on your assumptions page as a range, C$63.1B to C$70.2B, not as a shrinking number.
Canada's disruptions watch. The call: REFUSE a shrinking 2027-28 federal deficit as the base case.
Issue 0, October 2026. Signed 2026-10-24.
You lead AI governance or model risk at a bank or insurer
What to do this quarter: size the 2027 programme for near-frontier models that can be downloaded and run outside your vendor contracts, starting with a list of the ones already inside.
AI uncertainties watch. The call: CAVEAT, carry "the best downloadable model is within six months of the frontier", with four named limits.
Issue 0, November 2026. Signed 2026-11-03.
How the Scan is made, and what a sample adds
A search finds sources. The steps after it turn them into a finding you can defend to your board, and a record you can check us against.
1. Your question. One market or one decision, read through six lenses.
2. Six sweeps, in parallel. Web, news, social posts and prediction markets over the past month, duplicates removed and results ranked; the sources are public, so the list is yours to check.
3. Coverage graded. Each lens gets a grade from A to D on how many kinds of source answered it.
4. Verdict per lens: PROCEED, CAVEAT or REFUSE, how far the evidence lets you act on it.
5. Reviewed and signed. A second pass re-checks the cited claims; Daniel signs.
6. The brief, in your words. Plain language for the people who read it, with every finding traced to its source.
Every sample on this page is the monthly watch, built on the same public sweep and then read by hand with AI assistance: each source graded, the sources lined up on the same measure and horizon before they are compared, and the call signed by a person.
How to read a sample
Every source on a watch sample carries a two-part grade (the Admiralty system): a letter for the source and a number for the claim.
The letter: how reliable the source has proved. A completely reliable; B usually reliable; C fairly reliable; D not usually reliable; E unreliable; F cannot be judged.
The number: how well the claim holds up. 1 confirmed by independent sources; 2 probably true; 3 possibly true; 4 doubtful; 5 improbable; 6 cannot be judged.
The grade of a call takes the weakest letter among the sources the call cites, and the weakest number, never better than 3 when no source forecasts the outcome on the date the call is scored.
The call words. PROCEED: the public evidence supports planning on the assumption. CAVEAT: carry it, with the limits the page names. REFUSE: the public evidence does not support planning on it as the base case.
What you get with every report
A brief for people
Your board reads the call in two minutes. One page comes first, in plain language, with the evidence behind it for anyone who wants to check.
Context for your agents
The full bundle, every claim with its source, in files your own AI tools (Microsoft Copilot included) can pick up and continue from.
Who signs, and what we refuse
A named person at Magma signs every call, by name and date, and the call states up front what would prove it wrong and when it will be checked.
We name no security and no issuer, claim no returns and use no private data. Every report is built from public sources only.
On the paid tiers, The Scan and The Decision, the 14-day decision guarantee applies. The samples are free.
Want one on your question?
A sample answers a public question we choose. The Scan answers yours, read and signed by Daniel, with every finding cited and dated.
See the tiersMessage Daniel on LinkedIn with the one assumption in your plan you are least sure of. No names and no data needed, and we will tell you which report fits it.
Sources: every figure on the sample pages carries a numbered, dated public source and its grade. Each watch call is signed by name and date when its issue is published.